Monday, August 1, 2016

2016 AFC East Preview

(photo credit: isportsweb.com)
The AFC East has been dominated for over a decade by the Patriot QB/Head Coach combo of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. They have won the division 12 of the last 13 years, with the Dolphins winning the sole other division title in 2008 when Brady was injured.

The Jets, Dolphins and Bills have all attempted to build teams to combat Brady and Belichick’s reign, but have failed miserably since the Patriots commandeered the division in 2003. But each have yet again made moves in an effort to try and overthrow Brady and Belichick.

New England Patriots

If you’re talking about the AFC East, you have to start with the Pats. Success in the east starts with a plan to beat New England. The Patriots seem to be immune to injuries, free agency and draft mistakes. It’s always next man up in Boston. The only irreplaceable man seems to be Brady. Julian Edelman goes down, Danny Amendola steps up. Dion Lewis gets injured, James White comes up big. No other team in football replaces guys like the Patriots. But for the first time since 2008, the Patriots face significant time without Brady. Due to a four game suspension to start the season, the Pats face Miami, Houston and Buffalo in Foxborough, and the Cardinals on the road. If the Pats, and 3rd year QB Jimmy Garoppolo, step up to the challenge early in the season, the rest of the division will struggle upon King Brady’s return. But if they suffer a couple division losses, it might just be the head start the rest of the division needs to uproot the stranglehold the Pats have on the East.

Buffalo Bills

There might not be a more electrifying sideline in football than one that includes both Ryan brothers. Who cares what actually happens on the field? All I want to see is a brotherly fistfight over who wants to blitz more, followed by a makeup donut-eating contest. Every Rex Ryan team seems to have the same makeup. A hard nosed defense led by a dominant and explosive defensive line, with excellently manipulated matchup zone schemes, with some playmakers on offense that never seem to be able to put it together around a lackluster quarterback. Unless the offense and Tyrod Taylor can improve by leaps and bounds, this team will continue to struggle to put good games together week in and week out.

New York Jets

I’m not sure who is the most relieved by the Jets resigning Ryan Fitzpatrick. Head coach Todd Bowles, Fitzpatrick, wide receiver Brandon Marshall or (now) backup QB Geno Smith. All have good cases. Bowles comes into his second year in charge of the Jets with many of the same problems from last year. A game manager at quarterback needs game changing talent around him to make the offense flow. While the Jets have some pieces to help Fitzpatrick, like Marshall and the addition of Matt Forte, no game changing playmakers that can balance out the difference between Brady and Fitzpatrick. While Bowles is a defensive mastermind, Brady figures out every defense eventually, and teams need an offense that can match up with the Patriots yard for yard, minute for minute, and point for point.

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins are the most hit or miss team week in and week out in the AFC East. They can compete with any team in the NFL on a weekly basis, but look like they could lose to a good college team other weeks. They have flashes of brilliance and then weeks of turmoil. QB Ryan Tannehill can be one of the best short and medium distance passers in football at times. Other times Dolphins fans are left begging for the return of the wildcat offense. The defense can be stifling at times and is led by what can be the best defensive line in the NFL (Ndamukong Suh, Cameron Wake, Jordan Phillips, and Mario Williams), but other times seemed like they could be bullied in the trenches by some of the local high schools. When the Dolphins play with passion they look like a wrecking crew reminiscent of 1972. But most of the time Miami seems to lacks the determination and drive to win, to prove themselves as a capable football team, which propels them to a 7-9 record years after year.

Division Prediction
11.     New England Patriots
22.     New York Jets
33.     Miami Dolphins
44.     Buffalo Bills


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